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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-03

Western Alliance Bancorporation (WAL) Stock Forecast Nov. 3, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 3, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 4891 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 32.0% Spearman, 358 dates
Market Cap $8.58B mid-cap · #18 of 60 peers
Summary

Western Alliance Bancorporation (WAL) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Western Alliance Bancorporation every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Western Alliance Bancorporation is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $8.58B. It ranks number 18 by market capitalization among the 60 State Commercial Banks issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For WAL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 32.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-08-05 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 35.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-10-02. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.9%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-30 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, WAL included.

Price

WAL price chart and AI forecast

WAL
Cross-section · 2026-10-30

How WAL ranks among 4891 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Western Alliance Bancorporation (WAL) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the State Commercial Banks peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricWALIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $8.58B $4.40B 18/60
P/E Ratio 8.69x 12.59x 55/58
P/B Ratio 1.12x 1.33x 45/57
EPS $9.05 – –
Book Value/Share $70.16 – –
Revenue/Share $32.66 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricWALIndustry medianRank
ROE 13.1% 10.5% 13/53
ROA 1.0% 1.2% 38/49
Net Margin 28.1% 31.5% 40/54
EBT Margin 35.3% 40.6% 42/57
Tax Rate 18.3% – –

Financial Health

MetricWALIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 11.77x 7.28x 8/59
Financial Leverage 12.81x 8.18x 6/53

Cash Flow

MetricWALIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$163M $407M 55/58

Operational Efficiency

MetricWALIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.04x 0.04x 9/51
Fixed Assets Turnover 7.5x 5.5x 21/55

Income Statement

MetricWALIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $3.56B $1.10B 10/57
Net Income $1.00B $346M 11/54

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricWALIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 109M – –
Net Income Growth 11.1% 21.2% 36/53
EPS Growth 12.0% 17.2% 35/56

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$5.33B5.4% of assets
Total Liabilities$90.12B92.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

WAL quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · State Commercial Banks

Western Alliance Bancorporation (WAL) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Western Alliance Bancorporation (State Commercial Banks): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
WAL Western Alliance Bancorporation $8.58B 8.7x 1.1x
BNS Bank Of Nova Scotia $116.29B 12.2x –
DB Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft $64.87B 9.6x –
FITB Fifth Third Bancorp $49.85B 15.8x 1.5x
STT State Street Corp $46.51B 13.8x 1.6x
MTB M&T Bank Corp $32.41B 11.9x 1.2x
NTRS Northern Trust Corp $31.22B 13.4x 2.3x
BBD Bank Bradesco $27.87B – –
CFG Citizens Financial Group Inc/Ri $27.35B 11.3x 1.1x
FCNCA First Citizens Bancshares Inc /De/ $26.57B 12.6x 1.2x
EWBC East West Bancorp Inc $17.92B 12.6x 1.9x
ALLY Ally Financial Inc. $11.75B 8.4x 0.8x
WTFC Wintrust Financial Corp $10.28B 12.2x 1.4x
SSB Southstate Bank Corp $10.20B 10.2x 1.1x
BPOP Popular, Inc. $10.14B 10.8x 1.6x
PB Prosperity Bancshares Inc $8.88B 12.8x 1.1x
COLB Columbia Banking System, Inc. $8.84B 13.6x 1.2x
CBC Central Bancompany, Inc. $8.83B – 2.3x
CBSH Commerce Bancshares Inc /Mo/ $8.00B 14.0x 3.3x
UBSI United Bankshares Inc/Wv $6.57B 14.3x 1.2x
GBCI Glacier Bancorp, Inc. $6.51B 21.8x 1.5x
HOMB Home Bancshares Inc $6.09B 12.7x 1.3x
HWC Hancock Whitney Corp $5.89B 16.3x 1.3x
ASB Associated Banc-Corp $5.88B 11.2x 1.1x
ABCB Ameris Bancorp $5.65B 15.2x 1.4x
AUB Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp $5.61B 13.0x 1.1x
UCB United Community Banks Inc $4.54B 12.8x 1.2x
FFIN First Financial Bankshares Inc $4.51B 17.5x 4.3x
SFBS Servisfirst Bancshares, Inc. $4.43B 6.9x 2.2x
TCBI Texas Capital Bancshares Inc/Tx $4.42B 12.0x 1.2x
CATY Cathay General Bancorp $4.37B 10.8x 1.4x
IBOC International Bancshares Corp $4.16B 10.1x 1.2x
CVBF Cvb Financial Corp $4.07B 16.1x 1.3x
FBP First Bancorp /Pr/ $4.03B 11.6x 2.0x
INDB Independent Bank Corp $3.92B 15.0x 1.1x
RNST Renasant Corp $3.71B 13.5x 1.0x
FIBK First Interstate Bancsystem Inc $3.69B 12.6x 1.2x
MCHB Mechanics Bancorp $3.33B 8.6x 8.3x
SBCF Seacoast Banking Corp Of Florida $3.29B 21.0x 1.2x
FHB First Hawaiian, Inc. $3.13B 12.0x 1.1x
CUBI Customers Bancorp, Inc. $2.91B 10.1x 1.3x
BOH Bank Of Hawaii Corp $2.81B 10.7x 1.5x
FBK Fb Financial Corp $2.75B 10.1x 1.4x
FBNC First Bancorp /Nc/ $2.70B 13.4x 1.6x
SYBT Stock Yards Bancorp, Inc. $2.44B 15.7x 2.0x
BANR Banner Corp $2.43B 11.8x 3.6x
MBIN Merchants Bancorp $2.42B 8.9x 1.0x
BUSE First Busey Corp /Nv/ $2.38B 17.6x 1.0x
EFSC Enterprise Financial Services Corp $2.28B 12.7x 1.2x
HTH Hilltop Holdings Inc. $2.17B 15.8x 1.0x
OFG Ofg Bancorp $2.15B 10.0x 1.5x
SRCE 1st Source Corp $2.15B 12.3x 1.6x
GABC German American Bancorp, Inc. $1.89B 15.5x 1.6x
STBA S&T Bancorp Inc $1.83B 14.1x 1.3x
RBCAA Republic Bancorp Inc /Ky/ $1.81B 14.3x 1.6x
CNOB Connectone Bancorp, Inc. $1.78B 14.7x 1.1x
BY Byline Bancorp, Inc. $1.74B 12.3x 1.3x
TCBK Trico Bancshares / $1.71B 10.8x 1.3x
QCRH Qcr Holdings Inc $1.69B 12.3x 1.5x
OBK Origin Bancorp, Inc. $1.67B 17.9x 2.6x

Where WAL sits on the market map

Finance · State Commercial Banks
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News

Western Alliance Bancorporation (WAL) stock news

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FAQ

Western Alliance Bancorporation (WAL) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Western Alliance Bancorporation (WAL) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Western Alliance Bancorporation every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Western Alliance Bancorporation stock predictions?

For WAL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 32.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-08-05 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 35.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-10-02. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Western Alliance Bancorporation forecasts updated?

Western Alliance Bancorporation forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 3, 2026.

Which companies are Western Alliance Bancorporation's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, WAL included, share the SEC industry code State Commercial Banks. The largest are: Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS), Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft (DB), Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB), State Street Corp (STT), M&T Bank Corp (MTB), Northern Trust Corp (NTRS).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.