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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-04

Bridgewater Bancshares Inc (BWB) Stock Forecast Nov. 4, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 4, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 4891 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -11.0% Spearman, 358 dates
Market Cap $569M small-cap · #60 of 60 peers
Summary

Bridgewater Bancshares Inc (BWB) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Bridgewater Bancshares Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Bridgewater Bancshares Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $569M. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 State Commercial Banks issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For BWB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -11.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-17 and 2026-08-06 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 8.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-17 and 2026-10-05. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.9%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-30 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, BWB included.

Price

BWB price chart and AI forecast

BWB
Cross-section · 2026-10-30

How BWB ranks among 4891 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Bridgewater Bancshares Inc (BWB) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the State Commercial Banks peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricBWBIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $569M $4.37B 60/60
P/E Ratio 9.91x 12.43x 52/58
P/B Ratio 1.05x 1.31x 51/57
EPS $2.05 – –
Book Value/Share $19.33 – –
Revenue/Share $5.83 – –
FCF/Share $2.62 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricBWBIndustry medianRank
ROE 11.0% 10.8% 25/53
ROA 1.1% 1.2% 36/49
Net Margin 36.6% 31.5% 12/54
EBT Margin 47.5% 40.6% 14/57
Tax Rate 22.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricBWBIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 9.37x 7.28x 14/59
Financial Leverage 10.37x 8.18x 11/53

Cash Flow

MetricBWBIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $79M $407M 54/58
Free Cash Flow $73M $325M 42/45
Capital Spending -$5M -$19M 5/45
OCF Growth YoY 42.4% 21.6% 16/53
FCF Growth YoY 50.9% 27.4% 12/41
FCF/Sales 45.0% 36.7% 11/44
CapEx/Sales 3.3% 2.1% 12/44

Operational Efficiency

MetricBWBIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.03x 0.04x 41/51
Fixed Assets Turnover 3.1x 5.4x 45/55

Income Statement

MetricBWBIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $163M $1.10B 56/57
Net Income $60M $348M 54/54

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricBWBIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 28M – –
Net Income Growth 45.9% 21.2% 10/53
EPS Growth 79.8% 18.7% 6/56

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$263M4.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$5.07B90.3% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

BWB quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · State Commercial Banks

Bridgewater Bancshares Inc (BWB) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Bridgewater Bancshares Inc (State Commercial Banks): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
BWB Bridgewater Bancshares Inc $569M 9.9x 1.1x
BNS Bank Of Nova Scotia $115.79B 12.2x –
DB Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft $64.75B 9.6x –
FITB Fifth Third Bancorp $48.91B 15.5x 1.5x
STT State Street Corp $46.51B 13.8x 1.6x
MTB M&T Bank Corp $32.41B 11.9x 1.2x
NTRS Northern Trust Corp $31.22B 13.4x 2.3x
BBD Bank Bradesco $27.87B – –
CFG Citizens Financial Group Inc/Ri $26.98B 11.2x 1.1x
FCNCA First Citizens Bancshares Inc /De/ $26.57B 12.6x 1.2x
EWBC East West Bancorp Inc $17.92B 12.6x 1.9x
ALLY Ally Financial Inc. $11.54B 8.2x 0.8x
WTFC Wintrust Financial Corp $10.28B 12.2x 1.4x
SSB Southstate Bank Corp $10.20B 10.2x 1.1x
BPOP Popular, Inc. $10.00B 10.6x 1.6x
PB Prosperity Bancshares Inc $8.88B 12.8x 1.1x
CBC Central Bancompany, Inc. $8.83B – 2.3x
COLB Columbia Banking System, Inc. $8.72B 13.4x 1.2x
WAL Western Alliance Bancorporation $8.58B 8.7x 1.1x
CBSH Commerce Bancshares Inc /Mo/ $7.98B 13.9x 3.2x
UBSI United Bankshares Inc/Wv $6.57B 14.3x 1.2x
GBCI Glacier Bancorp, Inc. $6.37B 16.5x 1.5x
HOMB Home Bancshares Inc $6.03B 12.6x 1.3x
HWC Hancock Whitney Corp $5.83B 16.1x 1.3x
ASB Associated Banc-Corp $5.74B 11.1x 1.1x
AUB Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp $5.61B 13.0x 1.1x
ABCB Ameris Bancorp $5.57B 15.0x 1.4x
UCB United Community Banks Inc $4.54B 12.8x 1.2x
FFIN First Financial Bankshares Inc $4.45B 17.2x 4.2x
SFBS Servisfirst Bancshares, Inc. $4.43B 6.9x 2.2x
TCBI Texas Capital Bancshares Inc/Tx $4.42B 12.0x 1.2x
CATY Cathay General Bancorp $4.33B 10.6x 1.4x
IBOC International Bancshares Corp $4.16B 10.1x 1.2x
CVBF Cvb Financial Corp $4.04B 15.9x 1.3x
FBP First Bancorp /Pr/ $4.01B 11.6x 2.0x
INDB Independent Bank Corp $3.92B 15.0x 1.1x
RNST Renasant Corp $3.71B 13.5x 1.0x
FIBK First Interstate Bancsystem Inc $3.59B 12.2x 1.1x
MCHB Mechanics Bancorp $3.33B 8.6x 8.3x
SBCF Seacoast Banking Corp Of Florida $3.29B 21.0x 1.2x
FHB First Hawaiian, Inc. $3.09B 11.8x 1.1x
CUBI Customers Bancorp, Inc. $2.89B 10.0x 1.3x
BOH Bank Of Hawaii Corp $2.75B 10.6x 1.5x
FBK Fb Financial Corp $2.74B 10.1x 1.4x
FBNC First Bancorp /Nc/ $2.65B 13.2x 1.6x
SYBT Stock Yards Bancorp, Inc. $2.44B 15.7x 2.0x
MBIN Merchants Bancorp $2.42B 8.9x 1.0x
BANR Banner Corp $2.40B 12.0x 3.6x
BUSE First Busey Corp /Nv/ $2.38B 17.6x 1.0x
EFSC Enterprise Financial Services Corp $2.24B 12.6x 1.2x
OFG Ofg Bancorp $2.15B 10.0x 1.5x
SRCE 1st Source Corp $2.15B 12.3x 1.6x
HTH Hilltop Holdings Inc. $2.11B 15.5x 1.0x
GABC German American Bancorp, Inc. $1.86B 15.3x 1.5x
STBA S&T Bancorp Inc $1.83B 14.1x 1.3x
RBCAA Republic Bancorp Inc /Ky/ $1.81B 14.3x 1.6x
BY Byline Bancorp, Inc. $1.74B 12.3x 1.3x
TCBK Trico Bancshares / $1.71B 10.8x 1.3x
QCRH Qcr Holdings Inc $1.69B 12.3x 1.5x
OBK Origin Bancorp, Inc. $1.67B 17.9x 2.6x

Where BWB sits on the market map

Finance · State Commercial Banks
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News

Bridgewater Bancshares Inc (BWB) stock news

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FAQ

Bridgewater Bancshares Inc (BWB) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Bridgewater Bancshares Inc (BWB) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Bridgewater Bancshares Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Bridgewater Bancshares Inc stock predictions?

For BWB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -11.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-17 and 2026-08-06 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 8.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-17 and 2026-10-05. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Bridgewater Bancshares Inc forecasts updated?

Bridgewater Bancshares Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 4, 2026.

Which companies are Bridgewater Bancshares Inc's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, BWB included, share the SEC industry code State Commercial Banks. The largest are: Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS), Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft (DB), Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB), State Street Corp (STT), M&T Bank Corp (MTB), Northern Trust Corp (NTRS).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.