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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-13

Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) Stock Forecast Oct. 13, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 13, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $13.27B large-cap · #9 of 35 peers
Summary

Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 13, 2026, CG is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

Carlyle Group Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $13.27B. It ranks number 9 by market capitalization among the 35 Investment Advice issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for CG is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, CG included.

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Price

CG price chart and AI forecast

CG
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How CG ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Investment Advice peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricCGIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $13.27B $4.08B 9/35
P/B Ratio 2.53x 2.87x 20/31
Dividend Yield 3.80% 3.08% 11/28
EPS $1.68 – –
Book Value/Share $14.71 – –
Revenue/Share $10.13 – –
FCF/Share $-11.57 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricCGIndustry medianRank
ROE 6.9% 18.0% 25/33
ROA 1.3% 5.1% 28/37
Net Margin 10.1% 13.1% 22/34
EBT Margin 17.8% 25.0% 26/36
Tax Rate 15.8% – –

Financial Health

MetricCGIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 4.00x 1.48x 9/37
Financial Leverage 5.38x 3.04x 12/37

Cash Flow

MetricCGIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$4.00B $261M 41/41
Free Cash Flow -$4.12B $367M 26/26
Capital Spending -$125M -$7M 24/26
FCF/Sales -114.2% 27.8% 25/25
CapEx/Sales 3.5% 0.7% 3/25

Operational Efficiency

MetricCGIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.13x 0.31x 27/33
Fixed Assets Turnover 14.5x 25.3x 22/26

Income Statement

MetricCGIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $3.61B $1.83B 10/34
Net Income $363M $228M 12/37

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCGIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.42 – –
Payout Ratio 84.5% 56.6% 6/23
Shares Outstanding 356M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$1.26B4.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$20.98B80.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

CG quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Investment Advice

Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Carlyle Group Inc. (Investment Advice): 43 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
CG Carlyle Group Inc. ▶ $13.27B – 2.5x
BX Blackstone Inc. ▶ $101.98B 29.0x 11.3x
KKR Kkr & Co. Inc. ▶ $79.52B 25.2x 2.6x
APO Apollo Global Management, Inc. ▼ $68.67B 36.6x 3.3x
ARES Ares Management Corp ▶ $47.70B 75.0x 13.5x
AMP Ameriprise Financial Inc ▶ $43.58B 11.0x 7.0x
TPG Tpg Inc. ▶ $17.35B – 14.0x
BEN Franklin Templeton Inc ▼ $15.84B – 1.4x
OWL Blue Owl Capital Inc. ▶ $14.48B – 7.3x
IVZ Invesco Ltd. ▶ $12.77B – 1.0x
EVR Evercore Inc. ▲ $10.15B 13.6x 5.5x
AMG Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. ▼ $9.80B 11.5x 3.0x
HLI Houlihan Lokey, Inc. ▶ $9.05B 22.3x 4.0x
MORN Morningstar, Inc. ▶ $7.67B 18.2x 7.5x
VCTR Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. ▶ $6.82B 14.8x 2.9x
STEP Stepstone Group Inc. ▶ $5.29B – –
FHI Federated Hermes, Inc. ▶ $4.11B 10.0x 3.3x
LAZ Lazard, Inc. ▶ $4.08B 14.8x 4.7x
CNS Cohen & Steers, Inc. ▲ $3.54B 21.0x 6.0x
AAMI Acadian Asset Management Inc. ▶ $3.25B 32.1x –
AB Alliancebernstein Holding L.P. ▼ $3.18B 10.2x –
DBRG Digitalbridge Group, Inc. ▼ $3.00B 8.7x 1.3x
GCMG Gcm Grosvenor Inc. ▲ $2.60B – –
APAM Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. ▶ $2.53B 8.4x 6.0x
RPC Ridgepost Capital, Inc. ▲ $902M 32.9x 13.1x
VRTS Virtus Investment Partners, Inc. ▲ $864M 7.7x 0.9x
ABX Abacus Global Management, Inc. ▲ $794M 28.2x 1.8x
HKHC Horizon Kinetics Holding Corp ▲ $379M 8.1x 1.0x
ALTI Alti Global, Inc. ▲ $377M – 0.6x
RILY Brc Group Holdings, Inc. ▼ $196M – 1.4x
WHG Westwood Holdings Group Inc ▶ $167M 21.2x 1.3x
SAMG Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. ▲ $125M – 2.7x
HNNA Hennessy Advisors Inc ▲ $81M 9.8x 0.8x
MLCI Mount Logan Capital Inc. ▶ $34M – 0.6x
IWSH Wright Investors Service Holdings, Inc. ▼ $2M – 2.8x
ENDI Endi Corp. ▶ N/A – –
HLNE Hamilton Lane Inc ▶ N/A – –
ILLR Triller Group Inc. ▼ N/A – –
MAAS Maase Inc. ▼ N/A – –
MC Moelis & Co ▶ N/A – –
NOAH Noah Holdings Ltd ▼ N/A – –
PAX Patria Investments Ltd ▶ N/A – –
PJT Pjt Partners Inc. ▲ N/A – –

Where CG sits on the market map

Finance · Investment Advice
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News

Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) stock news

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FAQ

Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) stock forecast?

On Oct. 13, 2026, CG is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Carlyle Group Inc. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for CG is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Carlyle Group Inc. forecasts updated?

Carlyle Group Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 13, 2026.

Which companies are Carlyle Group Inc.'s industry peers?

43 issuers in our coverage, CG included, share the SEC industry code Investment Advice. The largest are: Blackstone Inc. (BX), Kkr & Co. Inc. (KKR), Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO), Ares Management Corp (ARES), Ameriprise Financial Inc (AMP), Tpg Inc. (TPG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.