Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
On Oct. 16, 2026, HWBK is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5121 stocks scored that day.
Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $263M. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 National Commercial Banks issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For HWBK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 6.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.6%, buy ≥ +3.2%, sell < +1.9%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-15 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, HWBK included.
Follow HWBK free90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the National Commercial Banks peers listed below that report each metric.
| Metric | HWBK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $263M | 60/60 |
| P/E Ratio | 10.56x | 46/58 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.44x | 18/59 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.13% | 40/52 |
| EPS | $3.61 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $26.49 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $12.10 | – |
| FCF/Share | $4.05 | – |
| Metric | HWBK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 13.9% | 10/55 |
| ROA | 1.4% | 11/49 |
| Net Margin | 30.4% | 23/54 |
| EBT Margin | 37.2% | 30/59 |
| Tax Rate | 18.4% | – |
| Metric | HWBK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 8.70x | 20/60 |
| Financial Leverage | 9.70x | 18/52 |
| Metric | HWBK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $34M | 56/60 |
| Free Cash Flow | $28M | 42/43 |
| Capital Spending | -$6M | 11/43 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 48.9% | 21/54 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 41.7% | 19/41 |
| FCF/Sales | 33.4% | 19/43 |
| CapEx/Sales | 6.8% | 8/43 |
| Metric | HWBK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.05x | 6/49 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 2.7x | 40/52 |
| Metric | HWBK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $84M | 56/57 |
| Net Income | $25M | 54/55 |
| Metric | HWBK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.81 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 22.4% | 44/51 |
| Shares Outstanding | 7M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 22.9% | 21/53 |
| EPS Growth | 27.6% | 22/56 |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $33M | 1.8% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $1.59B | 89.7% of assets |
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. (National Commercial Banks): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| HWBK Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. | ▶ | $263M |
| JPM Jpmorgan Chase & Co | ▶ | $891.90B |
| BAC Bank Of America Corp /De/ | ▲ | $361.53B |
| WFC Wells Fargo & Company/Mn | ▶ | $250.24B |
| C Citigroup Inc | ▲ | $220.46B |
| UBS Ubs Group Ag | ▼ | $159.66B |
| MFG Mizuho Financial Group Inc | ▶ | $127.39B |
| COF Capital One Financial Corp | ▶ | $122.00B |
| USB Us Bancorp \De\ | ▶ | $89.42B |
| PNC Pnc Financial Services Group, Inc. | ▶ | $85.75B |
| TFC Truist Financial Corp | ▼ | $56.89B |
| HBAN Huntington Bancshares Inc /Md/ | ▲ | $31.01B |
| RF Regions Financial Corp | ▶ | $23.27B |
| KEY Keycorp /New/ | ▲ | $21.28B |
| FHN First Horizon Corp | ▶ | $10.83B |
| UMBF Umb Financial Corp | ▼ | $10.01B |
| ONB Old National Bancorp /In/ | ▶ | $9.77B |
| CFR Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. | ▼ | $9.58B |
| ZION Zions Bancorporation, National Association /Ut/ | ▶ | $9.20B |
| BOKF Bok Financial Corp | ▼ | $7.60B |
| VLY Valley National Bancorp | ▶ | $7.05B |
| FNB Fnb Corp/Pa/ | ▶ | $6.06B |
| FULT Fulton Financial Corp | ▼ | $4.27B |
| WSFS Wsfs Financial Corp | ▼ | $3.90B |
| BANF Bancfirst Corp /Ok/ | ▶ | $3.63B |
| WSBC Wesbanco Inc | ▶ | $3.55B |
| NIC Nicolet Bankshares Inc | ▼ | $3.45B |
| FFBC First Financial Bancorp /Oh/ | ▼ | $3.30B |
| SFNC Simmons First National Corp | ▶ | $3.22B |
| PRK Park National Corp /Oh/ | ▼ | $3.22B |
| BANC Banc Of California, Inc. | ▲ | $2.72B |
| NBTB Nbt Bancorp Inc | ▼ | $2.63B |
| TRMK Trustmark Corp | ▼ | $2.61B |
| FRME First Merchants Corp | ▼ | $2.29B |
| NWBI Northwest Bancshares, Inc. | ▼ | $2.18B |
| WAFD Wafd Inc | ▲ | $2.18B |
| FCF First Commonwealth Financial Corp /Pa/ | ▼ | $2.04B |
| TBBK Bancorp, Inc. | ▶ | $2.00B |
| CHCO City Holding Co | ▼ | $1.98B |
| FSUN Firstsun Capital Bancorp | ▶ | $1.77B |
| DCOM Dime Commercial Bancshares, Inc. /Ny/ | ▶ | $1.71B |
| HOPE Hope Bancorp Inc | ▶ | $1.71B |
| NBHC National Bank Holdings Corp | ▶ | $1.68B |
| BFC Bank First Corp | ▼ | $1.63B |
| OCFC Oceanfirst Financial Corp | ▶ | $1.54B |
| CASH Pathward Financial, Inc. | ▶ | $1.50B |
| BHRB Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. | ▼ | $1.41B |
| WABC Westamerica Bancorporation | ▼ | $1.41B |
| AMTB Amerant Bancorp Inc. | ▶ | $1.14B |
| FMCB Farmers & Merchants Bancorp | ▼ | $993M |
| CAC Camden National Corp | ▶ | $944M |
| HAFC Hanmi Financial Corp | ▶ | $917M |
| SMBK Smartfinancial Inc. | ▶ | $858M |
| FISI Financial Institutions Inc | ▼ | $774M |
| ALRS Alerus Financial Corp | ▲ | $765M |
| SHBI Shore Bancshares Inc | ▶ | $752M |
| BCAL California Bancorp \ Ca | ▶ | $698M |
| PFIS Peoples Financial Services Corp. | ▶ | $681M |
| CARE Carter Bankshares, Inc. | ▼ | $672M |
| CBNK Capital Bancorp Inc | ▶ | $642M |
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JEFFERSON CITY, Mo., April 29, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. (“Hawthorn”) (NASDAQ: HWBK), the holding company for Hawthorn Bank, and FSC Bancshares, Inc. (“FSC”), the holding ...
JEFFERSON CITY, Mo., April 29, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. (NASDAQ: HWBK), (the “Company”), announced today that Grant Burcham has been appointed to the Board of Directors of ...
On Oct. 16, 2026, HWBK is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5121 stocks scored that day.
For HWBK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 6.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
60 issuers in our coverage, HWBK included, share the SEC industry code National Commercial Banks. The largest are: Jpmorgan Chase & Co (JPM), Bank Of America Corp /De/ (BAC), Wells Fargo & Company/Mn (WFC), Citigroup Inc (C), Ubs Group Ag (UBS), Mizuho Financial Group Inc (MFG).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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