Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) Stock Forecast Oct. 20, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 20, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 20, 2026, REFI is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4375 stocks scored that day.
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $225M. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 Real Estate Investment Trusts issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Dividend Yield of 18.08% is the highest of the 55 peers that report one.
For REFI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 1.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-02 and 2026-07-22 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-02 and 2026-09-18. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.9% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-20 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, REFI included.
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How REFI ranks among 4375 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Real Estate Investment Trusts peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | REFI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $225M | 60/60 |
| P/E Ratio | 5.45x | 54/55 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.74x | 54/57 |
| Dividend Yield | 18.08% | 1/55 |
| EPS | $1.61 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $11.77 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | REFI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 9.8% | 20/52 |
| ROA | 6.4% | 9/55 |
| Tax Rate | 0.0% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | REFI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 0.53x | 52/57 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.53x | 53/56 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | REFI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $27M | 59/60 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 11.6% | 17/59 |
Income Statement
| Metric | REFI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Net Income | $29M | 50/55 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | REFI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $1.59 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 98.8% | 35/50 |
| Shares Outstanding | 26M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -22.7% | 43/49 |
| EPS Growth | -12.0% | 42/54 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $13M | 2.9% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $160M | 34.5% of assets |
REFI quarterly financials and insider trading
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (Real Estate Investment Trusts): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| REFI Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. | ▶ | $225M |
| WELL Welltower Inc. | ▼ | $160.27B |
| PLD Prologis, Inc. | ▶ | $115.26B |
| EQIX Equinix Inc | ▼ | $97.43B |
| AMT American Tower Corp /Ma/ | ▼ | $85.53B |
| SPG Simon Property Group Inc. | ▼ | $65.52B |
| DLR Digital Realty Trust, Inc. | ▼ | $60.22B |
| O Realty Income Corp | ▼ | $52.52B |
| PSA Public Storage | ▼ | $51.93B |
| VMRK Vivmark Residential | ▼ | $47.09B |
| VTR Ventas, Inc. | ▼ | $43.35B |
| CCI Crown Castle Inc. | ▶ | $34.52B |
| IRM Iron Mountain Inc | ▼ | $33.21B |
| EXR Extra Space Storage Inc. | ▼ | $30.42B |
| VICI Vici Properties Inc. | ▼ | $25.43B |
| SBAC Sba Communications Corp | ▼ | $19.42B |
| ESS Essex Property Trust, Inc. | ▼ | $17.49B |
| HST Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | ▼ | $16.80B |
| LAMR Lamar Advertising Co/New | ▼ | $15.29B |
| KIM Kimco Realty Corp | ▼ | $15.22B |
| SUI Sun Communities Inc | ▼ | $14.53B |
| WPC W. P. Carey Inc. | ▼ | $14.53B |
| WY Weyerhaeuser Co | ▼ | $13.84B |
| OHI Omega Healthcare Investors Inc | ▼ | $13.60B |
| MAA Mid America Apartment Communities Inc. | ▼ | $13.55B |
| NLY Annaly Capital Management Inc | ▼ | $13.36B |
| REG Regency Centers Corp | ▼ | $13.25B |
| AHR American Healthcare Reit, Inc. | ▼ | $12.68B |
| ELS Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc | ▼ | $12.01B |
| GLPI Gaming & Leisure Properties, Inc. | ▼ | $11.61B |
| AMH American Homes 4 Rent | ▼ | $11.21B |
| UDR Udr, Inc. | ▼ | $11.18B |
| EGP Eastgroup Properties Inc | ▼ | $10.82B |
| BXP Bxp, Inc. | ▼ | $9.43B |
| FRT Federal Realty Investment Trust | ▼ | $9.04B |
| CUBE Cubesmart | ▼ | $8.97B |
| CTRE Caretrust Reit, Inc. | ▼ | $8.61B |
| BRX Brixmor Property Group Inc. | ▼ | $8.51B |
| REXR Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. | ▼ | $8.11B |
| RHP Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. | ▼ | $8.01B |
| NNN Nnn Reit, Inc. | ▼ | $7.84B |
| FR First Industrial Realty Trust Inc | ▼ | $7.71B |
| ADC Agree Realty Corp | ▼ | $7.71B |
| LINE Lineage, Inc. | ▶ | $7.56B |
| ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. | ▶ | $7.43B |
| STAG Stag Industrial, Inc. | ▼ | $6.69B |
| MAC Macerich Co | ▶ | $6.39B |
| VNO Vornado Realty Trust | ▶ | $6.01B |
| HR Healthcare Realty Trust Inc | ▼ | $5.98B |
| RYN Rayonier Inc | ▶ | $5.59B |
| EPRT Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. | ▼ | $5.57B |
| OUT Outfront Media Inc. | ▼ | $5.35B |
| KRG Kite Realty Group Trust | ▼ | $5.02B |
| PECO Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. | ▼ | $4.88B |
| SBRA Sabra Health Care Reit, Inc. | ▼ | $4.87B |
| RITM Rithm Capital Corp. | ▶ | $4.71B |
| CUZ Cousins Properties Inc | ▶ | $4.57B |
| STWD Starwood Property Trust, Inc. | ▶ | $4.43B |
| EPR Epr Properties | ▼ | $4.24B |
| APLE Apple Hospitality Reit, Inc. | ▼ | $4.21B |
Where REFI sits on the market map
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) stock news
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Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) stock forecast?
On Oct. 20, 2026, REFI is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4375 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. stock predictions?
For REFI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 1.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-02 and 2026-07-22 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-02 and 2026-09-18. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. forecasts updated?
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 20, 2026.
Which companies are Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.'s industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, REFI included, share the SEC industry code Real Estate Investment Trusts. The largest are: Welltower Inc. (WELL), Prologis, Inc. (PLD), Equinix Inc (EQIX), American Tower Corp /Ma/ (AMT), Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG), Digital Realty Trust, Inc. (DLR).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.