Essex Property Trust, Inc. (ESS) Stock Forecast Oct. 13, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 13, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Essex Property Trust, Inc. (ESS) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Essex Property Trust, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Essex Property Trust, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $17.47B. It ranks number 16 by market capitalization among the 60 Real Estate Investment Trusts issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for ESS is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ESS included.
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How ESS ranks among 5379 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Essex Property Trust, Inc. (ESS) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Real Estate Investment Trusts peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ESS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $17.47B | 16/60 |
| P/E Ratio | 42.22x | 6/44 |
| P/B Ratio | 3.28x | 11/57 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.80% | 37/53 |
| EPS | $6.42 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $82.83 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $29.98 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ESS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 7.8% | 27/54 |
| ROA | 3.2% | 35/57 |
| Gross Margin | 70.1% | 6/16 |
| Operating Margin | 32.5% | 17/30 |
| Net Margin | 21.5% | 29/54 |
| EBT Margin | 32.5% | 19/46 |
Financial Health
| Metric | ESS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 1.39x | 22/57 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.42x | 22/57 |
| Interest Coverage | 1.7x | 37/47 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ESS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.12B | 22/60 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 8.3% | 27/58 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ESS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.15x | 23/55 |
Income Statement
| Metric | ESS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.93B | 29/55 |
| Operating Income | $627M | 18/30 |
| Net Income | $413M | 28/57 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $577M | 11/17 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ESS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $10.32 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 160.8% | 10/47 |
| Shares Outstanding | 64M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $58M | 0.5% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $7.39B | 58.1% of assets |
ESS quarterly financials and insider trading
Essex Property Trust, Inc. (ESS) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Essex Property Trust, Inc. (Real Estate Investment Trusts): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| ESS Essex Property Trust, Inc. | ▼ | $17.47B |
| WELL Welltower Inc. | ▶ | $162.57B |
| PLD Prologis, Inc. | ▶ | $124.75B |
| EQIX Equinix Inc | ▶ | $100.59B |
| AMT American Tower Corp /Ma/ | ▶ | $83.61B |
| SPG Simon Property Group Inc. | ▶ | $65.17B |
| DLR Digital Realty Trust, Inc. | ▼ | $63.72B |
| O Realty Income Corp | ▶ | $52.03B |
| PSA Public Storage | ▼ | $50.65B |
| VTR Ventas, Inc. | ▶ | $42.85B |
| IRM Iron Mountain Inc | ▼ | $34.12B |
| CCI Crown Castle Inc. | ▶ | $33.85B |
| EXR Extra Space Storage Inc. | ▶ | $29.44B |
| VICI Vici Properties Inc. | ▼ | $25.36B |
| VMRK Vivmark Residential | ▼ | $22.97B |
| SBAC Sba Communications Corp | ▼ | $19.55B |
| UDR Udr, Inc. | ▼ | $17.34B |
| HST Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | ▶ | $16.13B |
| KIM Kimco Realty Corp | ▶ | $15.06B |
| WPC W. P. Carey Inc. | ▶ | $14.65B |
| ADC Agree Realty Corp | ▶ | $14.46B |
| SUI Sun Communities Inc | ▼ | $14.10B |
| OHI Omega Healthcare Investors Inc | ▶ | $14.10B |
| MAA Mid America Apartment Communities Inc. | ▼ | $13.89B |
| NLY Annaly Capital Management Inc | ▶ | $13.69B |
| WY Weyerhaeuser Co | ▲ | $13.65B |
| REG Regency Centers Corp | ▼ | $13.39B |
| ELS Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc | ▼ | $11.81B |
| GLPI Gaming & Leisure Properties, Inc. | ▶ | $11.47B |
| AMH American Homes 4 Rent | ▶ | $11.02B |
| EGP Eastgroup Properties Inc | ▶ | $10.57B |
| BXP Bxp, Inc. | ▼ | $9.58B |
| FRT Federal Realty Investment Trust | ▶ | $9.15B |
| CTRE Caretrust Reit, Inc. | ▶ | $8.64B |
| CUBE Cubesmart | ▶ | $8.62B |
| BRX Brixmor Property Group Inc. | ▼ | $8.37B |
| REXR Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. | ▶ | $8.36B |
| FR First Industrial Realty Trust Inc | ▶ | $7.94B |
| RHP Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. | ▼ | $7.86B |
| LINE Lineage, Inc. | ▶ | $7.85B |
| NNN Nnn Reit, Inc. | ▼ | $7.77B |
| ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. | ▶ | $7.64B |
| STAG Stag Industrial, Inc. | ▼ | $7.12B |
| MAC Macerich Co | ▲ | $6.39B |
| VNO Vornado Realty Trust | ▶ | $6.31B |
| HR Healthcare Realty Trust Inc | ▶ | $5.97B |
| RYN Rayonier Inc | ▲ | $5.68B |
| EPRT Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. | ▶ | $5.55B |
| OUT Outfront Media Inc. | ▶ | $5.33B |
| PECO Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. | ▶ | $5.32B |
| KRG Kite Realty Group Trust | ▼ | $4.96B |
| SBRA Sabra Health Care Reit, Inc. | ▶ | $4.90B |
| RITM Rithm Capital Corp. | ▶ | $4.75B |
| STWD Starwood Property Trust, Inc. | ▼ | $4.63B |
| CUZ Cousins Properties Inc | ▲ | $4.58B |
| HHH Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. | ▼ | $4.33B |
| EPR Epr Properties | ▶ | $4.20B |
| KRC Kilroy Realty Corp | ▶ | $4.14B |
| SKT Tanger Inc. | ▶ | $4.05B |
| COLD Americold Realty Trust | ▶ | $3.98B |
Where ESS sits on the market map
Essex Property Trust, Inc. (ESS) stock news
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Essex Property Trust, Inc. (ESS) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Essex Property Trust, Inc. (ESS) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Essex Property Trust, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Essex Property Trust, Inc. stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for ESS is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Essex Property Trust, Inc. forecasts updated?
Essex Property Trust, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 13, 2026.
Which companies are Essex Property Trust, Inc.'s industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, ESS included, share the SEC industry code Real Estate Investment Trusts. The largest are: Welltower Inc. (WELL), Prologis, Inc. (PLD), Equinix Inc (EQIX), American Tower Corp /Ma/ (AMT), Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG), Digital Realty Trust, Inc. (DLR).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.