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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-03

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) Stock Forecast Nov. 3, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 3, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 4891 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 34.0% Spearman, 358 dates
Market Cap $575M small-cap · #60 of 60 peers
Summary

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $575M. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 Real Estate Investment Trusts issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/E Ratio of 2.59x is the lowest of the 54 peers that report one.

For IVR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 34.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-08-05 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 31.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-10-02. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.9%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-30 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, IVR included.

Price

IVR price chart and AI forecast

IVR
Cross-section · 2026-10-30

How IVR ranks among 4891 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Real Estate Investment Trusts peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricIVRIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $575M $11.60B 60/60
P/E Ratio 2.59x 26.44x 54/54
P/B Ratio 0.58x 2.13x 56/57
EPS $2.06 – –
Book Value/Share $9.20 – –
Revenue/Share $2.93 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricIVRIndustry medianRank
ROE 12.1% 7.7% 17/52
ROA 1.7% 3.6% 42/55
Net Margin 38.0% 25.6% 14/53

Financial Health

MetricIVRIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 6.31x 1.13x 6/57
Financial Leverage 7.31x 2.16x 6/56

Cash Flow

MetricIVRIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $166M $861M 59/60
OCF Growth YoY 8.8% 8.3% 28/59

Operational Efficiency

MetricIVRIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.04x 0.13x 54/55

Income Statement

MetricIVRIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $316M $1.97B 56/56
Net Income $120M $414M 48/55

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricIVRIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 108M – –
Net Income Growth 196.2% 24.2% 7/51
EPS Growth 227.0% 10.0% 4/52

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$73M1.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$6.25B86.3% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

IVR quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Real Estate Investment Trusts

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (Real Estate Investment Trusts): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
IVR Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. $575M 2.6x 0.6x
WELL Welltower Inc. $164.03B 75.9x 3.4x
PLD Prologis, Inc. $118.88B 32.2x 2.2x
EQIX Equinix Inc $98.05B 59.6x 6.7x
AMT American Tower Corp /Ma/ $87.74B 26.5x 25.0x
SPG Simon Property Group Inc. $70.46B 15.4x 11.9x
DLR Digital Realty Trust, Inc. $67.74B 46.7x 2.9x
PSA Public Storage $58.52B 34.9x 4.0x
O Realty Income Corp $53.87B 43.1x 1.4x
VMRK Vivmark Residential $48.14B 22.7x 4.6x
VTR Ventas, Inc. $44.48B 163.6x 2.8x
CCI Crown Castle Inc. $37.03B 53.4x –
IRM Iron Mountain Inc $34.29B 117.5x –
EXR Extra Space Storage Inc. $33.31B 30.8x 2.6x
VICI Vici Properties Inc. $27.53B 9.3x 1.0x
SBAC Sba Communications Corp $19.85B 20.2x –
HST Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. $17.76B 22.6x 2.8x
ESS Essex Property Trust, Inc. $17.07B 41.4x 3.2x
KIM Kimco Realty Corp $16.45B 28.5x 1.6x
LAMR Lamar Advertising Co/New $15.97B 28.8x 16.3x
WY Weyerhaeuser Co $15.34B 50.7x 1.6x
WPC W. P. Carey Inc. $14.75B 22.3x 1.7x
SUI Sun Communities Inc $14.44B – 2.8x
OHI Omega Healthcare Investors Inc $14.24B 17.6x 2.6x
NLY Annaly Capital Management Inc $13.94B 13.0x 0.9x
MAA Mid America Apartment Communities Inc. $13.85B 35.9x 2.5x
REG Regency Centers Corp $13.83B 25.9x 2.0x
AHR American Healthcare Reit, Inc. $12.44B 103.4x 3.4x
UDR Udr, Inc. $11.87B 24.4x 3.6x
GLPI Gaming & Leisure Properties, Inc. $11.81B 12.9x 2.4x
ELS Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc $11.72B 20.1x 6.7x
AMH American Homes 4 Rent $11.47B 26.4x 1.7x
EGP Eastgroup Properties Inc $10.80B 34.1x 3.0x
BXP Bxp, Inc. $10.13B 28.2x 2.0x
CUBE Cubesmart $10.09B 31.0x 3.8x
FRT Federal Realty Investment Trust $9.62B 19.3x 2.9x
BRX Brixmor Property Group Inc. $8.94B 23.9x 3.0x
ADC Agree Realty Corp $8.74B 36.3x 1.3x
REXR Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. $8.61B – 1.2x
CTRE Caretrust Reit, Inc. $8.54B 22.6x 1.9x
RHP Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. $8.51B 32.9x 11.4x
LINE Lineage, Inc. $8.20B – 1.0x
NNN Nnn Reit, Inc. $8.00B 20.1x 1.8x
ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. $7.42B – 0.5x
FR First Industrial Realty Trust Inc $7.26B 17.6x 2.6x
MAC Macerich Co $7.04B – 2.5x
STAG Stag Industrial, Inc. $6.88B 26.1x 1.9x
HR Healthcare Realty Trust Inc $6.63B – 1.6x
VNO Vornado Realty Trust $6.53B 60.3x 1.1x
EPRT Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. $6.03B 22.4x 1.3x
RYN Rayonier Inc $6.03B 6.7x 1.1x
OUT Outfront Media Inc. $5.64B 27.6x 8.1x
KRG Kite Realty Group Trust $5.29B 18.8x 1.9x
RITM Rithm Capital Corp. $5.28B 8.8x 0.6x
PECO Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. $5.13B 33.6x 2.1x
SBRA Sabra Health Care Reit, Inc. $5.04B 73.1x 1.8x
CUZ Cousins Properties Inc $4.91B 102.8x 1.1x
STWD Starwood Property Trust, Inc. $4.67B 16.2x 0.7x
HHH Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. $4.65B 15.3x 1.2x
EPR Epr Properties $4.56B 13.8x 2.0x

Where IVR sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Real Estate Investment Trusts
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News

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) stock news

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FAQ

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. stock predictions?

For IVR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 34.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-08-05 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 31.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-10-02. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. forecasts updated?

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 3, 2026.

Which companies are Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, IVR included, share the SEC industry code Real Estate Investment Trusts. The largest are: Welltower Inc. (WELL), Prologis, Inc. (PLD), Equinix Inc (EQIX), American Tower Corp /Ma/ (AMT), Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG), Digital Realty Trust, Inc. (DLR).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.