Redwood Trust Inc (RWT) Stock Forecast Oct. 20, 2026

Our AI ranks Redwood Trust Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Redwood Trust Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $367M. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 Real Estate Investment Trusts issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 0.39x is the lowest of the 57 peers that report one. Its D/E Ratio of 29.86x is the highest of the 57 peers that report one.

For RWT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 26.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-02 and 2026-07-22 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 23.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-02 and 2026-09-18. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-20 signals)

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