Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Triumph Financial, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Triumph Financial, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.53B.
It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 State Commercial Banks issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
Its P/E Ratio of 45.35x is the highest of the 58 peers that report one. Its ROE of 5.2% is the lowest of the 53 peers that report one.
For TFIN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 40.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-08-05 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-10-02. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does.
Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.9%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-30 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, TFIN included.
Price
TFIN price chart and AI forecast
TFIN
Cross-section · 2026-10-30
How TFIN ranks among 4891 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the State Commercial Banks peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
Metric
TFIN
Industry median
Rank
Market Cap
$1.53B
$4.40B
60/60
P/E Ratio
45.35x
12.59x
1/58
P/B Ratio
1.56x
1.33x
16/57
Dividend Yield
0.21%
2.55%
51/51
EPS
$1.41
–
–
Book Value/Share
$40.91
–
–
Revenue/Share
$19.49
–
–
Profitability & Margins
Metric
TFIN
Industry median
Rank
ROE
5.2%
10.2%
53/53
ROA
0.7%
1.2%
50/50
Net Margin
10.8%
31.5%
52/54
EBT Margin
14.2%
40.1%
56/57
Tax Rate
24.0%
–
–
Financial Health
Metric
TFIN
Industry median
Rank
D/E Ratio
6.85x
7.18x
34/59
Financial Leverage
7.85x
8.18x
30/54
Cash Flow
Metric
TFIN
Industry median
Rank
Operating Cash Flow
$113M
$407M
54/58
OCF Growth YoY
67.7%
19.8%
12/53
Operational Efficiency
Metric
TFIN
Industry median
Rank
Asset Turnover
0.06x
0.04x
3/52
Fixed Assets Turnover
5.4x
5.5x
29/55
Income Statement
Metric
TFIN
Industry median
Rank
Total Revenue
$466M
$1.10B
48/57
Net Income
$50M
$346M
54/54
Dividend & Shareholder Information
Metric
TFIN
Industry median
Rank
Dividends Per Share
$0.13
–
–
Payout Ratio
9.2%
32.8%
49/51
Shares Outstanding
24M
–
–
Net Income Growth
405.6%
21.5%
1/53
EPS Growth
261.5%
17.2%
2/56
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
Cash & Short-term Investments
$1.03B
13.4% of assets
Total Liabilities
$6.70B
87.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports
TFIN quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · State Commercial Banks
Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Triumph Financial, Inc. (State Commercial Banks): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Good morning. It's 9:30 in Dallas, and we're ready to get started. Thanks for joining us this morning and for the interest in our second quarter results. We're glad you're here. With that, let's get ...
Triumph Financial, Inc. reported net income to common stockholders of $12.6 million, or $0.52 per diluted share, for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026. Earnings for the quarter were affected ...
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What is the Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Triumph Financial, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Triumph Financial, Inc. stock predictions?
For TFIN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 40.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-08-05 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-10-02. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Triumph Financial, Inc. forecasts updated?
Triumph Financial, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 3, 2026.
Which companies are Triumph Financial, Inc.'s industry peers?
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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