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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-15

Global Net Lease, Inc. (GNL) Stock Forecast Oct. 15, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 15, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5111 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 31.0% Spearman, 358 dates
Market Cap $1.65B small-cap · #60 of 60 peers
Summary

Global Net Lease, Inc. (GNL) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 15, 2026, GNL is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5111 stocks scored that day.

Global Net Lease, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.65B. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 Real Estate Investment Trusts issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For GNL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 31.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 28.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-09-15. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.5% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-15 signals)

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Price

GNL price chart and AI forecast

GNL
Cross-section · 2026-10-15

How GNL ranks among 5111 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Global Net Lease, Inc. (GNL) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Real Estate Investment Trusts peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricGNLIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.65B $11.28B 60/60
P/B Ratio 1.10x 2.05x 47/57
Dividend Yield 10.08% 4.63% 6/54
EPS $-1.09 – –
Book Value/Share $6.87 – –
Revenue/Share $2.09 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricGNLIndustry medianRank
Operating Margin 39.6% 38.5% 15/31
EBT Margin 1.3% 25.9% 44/46
Tax Rate 373.4% – –

The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.

Financial Health

MetricGNLIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 1.69x 1.13x 17/57
Financial Leverage 2.69x 2.16x 19/57
Interest Coverage 0.7x 3.4x 44/48

Cash Flow

MetricGNLIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $218M $870M 59/60
OCF Growth YoY -12.0% 4.9% 55/59

Operational Efficiency

MetricGNLIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.11x 0.14x 42/56

Income Statement

MetricGNLIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $460M $1.97B 56/56
Operating Income $182M $703M 30/32

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricGNLIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.76 – –
Shares Outstanding 220M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$154M3.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$2.56B63.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

GNL quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Real Estate Investment Trusts

Global Net Lease, Inc. (GNL) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Global Net Lease, Inc. (Real Estate Investment Trusts): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
GNL Global Net Lease, Inc. ▶ $1.65B – 1.1x
WELL Welltower Inc. ▶ $163.89B 116.7x 3.8x
PLD Prologis, Inc. ▶ $121.18B 32.8x 2.3x
EQIX Equinix Inc ▼ $98.27B 64.1x 6.8x
AMT American Tower Corp /Ma/ ▼ $84.51B 24.9x 22.7x
SPG Simon Property Group Inc. ▶ $64.29B 13.9x 10.9x
DLR Digital Realty Trust, Inc. ▼ $59.11B 45.7x 2.5x
O Realty Income Corp ▼ $52.20B 41.8x 1.3x
PSA Public Storage ▼ $50.71B 27.6x 5.5x
VTR Ventas, Inc. ▶ $43.25B 164.6x 3.0x
CCI Crown Castle Inc. ▲ $33.77B 48.7x –
IRM Iron Mountain Inc ▼ $33.00B 113.1x –
EXR Extra Space Storage Inc. ▼ $29.52B 29.7x 2.2x
VICI Vici Properties Inc. ▶ $25.26B 9.1x 0.9x
VMRK Vivmark Residential ▶ $22.80B 26.0x 2.2x
SBAC Sba Communications Corp ▶ $19.17B 19.4x –
ESS Essex Property Trust, Inc. ▼ $17.31B 42.0x 3.3x
UDR Udr, Inc. ▼ $17.31B – 5.3x
HST Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. ▼ $15.93B 20.3x 2.5x
KIM Kimco Realty Corp ▼ $15.02B 26.0x 1.5x
LAMR Lamar Advertising Co/New ▼ $14.74B 26.6x 15.0x
WPC W. P. Carey Inc. ▶ $14.48B 22.2x 1.7x
SUI Sun Communities Inc ▼ $14.08B 9.7x 2.1x
NLY Annaly Capital Management Inc ▼ $13.69B 4.6x 0.8x
OHI Omega Healthcare Investors Inc ▼ $13.66B 16.9x 2.5x
WY Weyerhaeuser Co ▲ $13.62B 28.9x 1.4x
MAA Mid America Apartment Communities Inc. ▼ $13.53B 35.0x 2.4x
REG Regency Centers Corp ▼ $13.13B 24.6x 1.9x
AHR American Healthcare Reit, Inc. ▼ $12.36B 101.9x 3.4x
ELS Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc ▼ $11.56B 29.8x 6.6x
GLPI Gaming & Leisure Properties, Inc. ▼ $11.42B 11.9x 2.3x
AMH American Homes 4 Rent ▼ $11.14B 25.6x 1.6x
EGP Eastgroup Properties Inc ▼ $10.41B 34.0x 2.9x
BXP Bxp, Inc. ▼ $9.53B 26.5x 1.9x
FRT Federal Realty Investment Trust ▼ $9.06B 18.2x 2.7x
CUBE Cubesmart ▼ $8.60B 26.4x 3.3x
CTRE Caretrust Reit, Inc. ▼ $8.58B 22.7x 1.9x
BRX Brixmor Property Group Inc. ▼ $8.42B 22.7x 2.8x
REXR Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. ▼ $8.36B – 1.1x
NNN Nnn Reit, Inc. ▼ $7.83B 19.6x 1.8x
FR First Industrial Realty Trust Inc ▶ $7.80B 18.9x 2.8x
RHP Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. ▶ $7.75B 30.0x 10.4x
LINE Lineage, Inc. ▼ $7.69B – 1.0x
ADC Agree Realty Corp ▼ $7.65B 37.4x 1.2x
ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. ▲ $7.38B – 0.5x
STAG Stag Industrial, Inc. ▶ $7.00B 30.1x 2.1x
MAC Macerich Co ▶ $6.29B – 2.2x
VNO Vornado Realty Trust ▶ $6.04B – 1.0x
HR Healthcare Realty Trust Inc ▼ $5.91B – 1.4x
RYN Rayonier Inc ▶ $5.68B 6.2x 1.1x
EPRT Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. ▼ $5.55B 19.7x 1.3x
OUT Outfront Media Inc. ▼ $5.23B 25.6x 7.5x
KRG Kite Realty Group Trust ▼ $4.94B 14.5x 1.7x
SBRA Sabra Health Care Reit, Inc. ▲ $4.90B 74.8x 1.8x
PECO Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. ▼ $4.86B 33.6x 2.1x
RITM Rithm Capital Corp. ▶ $4.66B 15.2x 0.6x
STWD Starwood Property Trust, Inc. ▶ $4.58B – 0.7x
CUZ Cousins Properties Inc ▶ $4.42B 86.7x 1.0x
EPR Epr Properties ▼ $4.18B 17.3x 1.8x
HHH Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. ▶ $4.08B 13.4x 1.0x

Where GNL sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Real Estate Investment Trusts
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News

Global Net Lease, Inc. (GNL) stock news

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FAQ

Global Net Lease, Inc. (GNL) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Global Net Lease, Inc. (GNL) stock forecast?

On Oct. 15, 2026, GNL is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5111 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Global Net Lease, Inc. stock predictions?

For GNL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 31.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 28.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-09-15. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Global Net Lease, Inc. forecasts updated?

Global Net Lease, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 15, 2026.

Which companies are Global Net Lease, Inc.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, GNL included, share the SEC industry code Real Estate Investment Trusts. The largest are: Welltower Inc. (WELL), Prologis, Inc. (PLD), Equinix Inc (EQIX), American Tower Corp /Ma/ (AMT), Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG), Digital Realty Trust, Inc. (DLR).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.